[QUOTE=Steerforth]
Also, while I give them credit for not giving up (they do have guts), I don't think it will be enough. I think Halo 3 is the biggest game come Christmas, this is America, after all, and I'm not sure any PS3 game can match the hype and expectation that is Halo.
The Wii will be......almost completely unaffected. It's almost as if some of us brain dead casuals aren't excited about rebuying all of our DVD's! Again! And I am a sucker for a good minigame compilation, especially if it has superficial motion controls!
P.S. Stringer says in the above link games that are out now for the PS3 presently use only about 20% of the potential . I think that is actually bad news. How much time will you have to spend on a game to get up to 60 - 100% of power?! Will these 'epic' games get shorter or will you just have to wait 5 years between releases? The depth of committment and investment continues to rise for Sony exclusives.
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I agree that the first price cut will probably be around $100. At the very least it will be $50. Costing $499 is still alot of cash, but the value would be tremendous. Compared to the Xbox 360 Elite you are getting so much more value for $20 more dollars. Why Microsoft opted not to put a wireless card is beyond me...
In regards to the PS3 only using 20% of its power...its not so much based on time to develope. Companies are still learning the architechture of the PS3. They aren't used to making games on such a complex device. Instead of having one processing core, they now have to use multiple.
From what I've read, developers are simply lazy and don't want to learn all the new tricks to get the most out of the machine. Sony is trying to get more developement tools out there so its easier, but its not happening all that fast.
I think at first you will only see a few companies really tap into the power of the PS3 and then slowly more will follow. I bet the PS3 games in 2009 will make the 06-07 games look like last gen efforts...should be interesting to watch it unfold.